Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 10.866790 12.111168 13.453188 15.010227 16.769699 18.699341 20.980019
2025-06-22 8.752429 10.421753 12.358198 14.779426 17.738188 21.251794 25.763521
2025-06-29 7.211735 9.065207 11.348431 14.387550 18.356113 23.402424 30.368838
2025-07-06 6.161507 8.107106 10.629153 14.171362 19.071180 25.687633 35.430599
2025-07-13 5.586379 7.655225 10.462076 14.600270 20.633566 29.245239 42.714674
2025-07-20 5.131556 7.289610 10.338625 15.034026 22.213901 32.995946 50.829117
2025-07-27 4.695319 6.885338 10.092814 15.228551 23.426804 36.320556 58.771625
2025-08-03 4.240390 6.394097 9.649900 15.046466 23.998720 38.677352 65.461186
2025-08-10 3.842252 5.941917 9.208686 14.797442 24.402612 40.772527 71.980605
2025-08-17 3.499539 5.538818 8.796818 14.536310 24.731532 42.749170 78.553829
2025-08-24 3.221314 5.210657 8.469189 14.371209 25.190136 44.987366 85.939477
2025-08-31 2.996546 4.948391 8.222450 14.312463 25.819584 47.599216 94.454868
2025-09-07 2.865896 4.839418 8.236115 14.739748 27.442841 52.397047 108.473179
2025-09-14 2.662098 4.584563 7.969497 14.619476 27.999348 55.177479 118.713978
2025-09-21 2.449086 4.294070 7.610862 14.282858 28.079924 56.990921 127.127985
2025-09-28 2.278571 4.065474 7.343716 14.092790 28.431129 59.416794 137.417221
2025-10-05 2.203008 4.006194 7.388515 14.531392 30.165446 65.127841 156.856453
2025-10-12 2.132394 3.949479 7.431621 14.969108 31.953358 71.232688 178.592438
2025-10-19 2.040285 3.842742 7.365328 15.165793 33.222127 76.308396 198.687191
2025-10-26 1.917014 3.664041 7.137744 14.986031 33.592081 79.246975 213.476963
2025-11-02 1.797796 3.484014 6.891788 14.738831 33.768811 81.725434 227.481056
2025-11-09 1.687423 3.313568 6.651480 14.479188 33.882095 84.057758 241.573942
2025-11-16 1.594378 3.172059 6.460894 14.314972 34.213813 87.024812 258.329897